** Mon Feb 2 12:47:14 2015 Andy Jacobson ** WARNING In its optimization process, CarbonTracker estimates a scaling factor for each ecoregion and week. This scaling factor multiplies an "initial guess" (or prior) flux from each grid box in the ecoregion/week domain. The prior values for these scaling factors are close to 1.0, with propagation of information from previous weeks in the estimation. In under-constrained estimation problems, where there are not enough data to uniquely identify a solution, it is possible to develop "dipoles" where positive flux corrections in one time and place are offset by negative flux corrections in another. Statistically, some small number of the scaling factors can become negative, because they are modeled as Gaussian random variables and no part of the real number line is excluded for such a distribution. This is almost always indicative of a flux dipole, which suggests that the system is attempting to resolve scales more finely than the data can support. Solution to this problem include postaggregating fluxes to average out these dipoles, or coarsening the scale at which the inversion is performed. Negative scaling factors result in a reversed diurnal cycle, with unrealistic features like nighttime photosynthetic uptake of CO2. We present high-resolution (1x1 degree, 3-hourly) fluxes here. The effects of dipoles are evident in some of these fluxes, and unrealistic fluxes are present in a small number of cases. Please contact andy.jacobson@noaa.gov with questions about this issue.