| Region | Full timespanexcl. 2000 | Common timespan2001–2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CT20262001–2025 | CT20222001–2020 | CT20262001–2020 | CT20222001–2020 | ΔRun 2 − Run 1 | σ sep | |
| Global totals | CT2026 full | CT2022 full | CT2026 common | CT2022 common | Δ | σ sep |
| Global | -4.43± 1.75 | -4.05± 1.64 | -4.24± 1.70 | -4.05± 1.64 | +0.19 | 0.1σ |
| All Land | -2.62± 1.55 | -1.00± 1.20 | -2.53± 1.51 | -1.00± 1.20 | +1.53 | 0.8σ |
| All Ocean | -1.81± 0.90 | -3.06± 1.22 | -1.71± 0.88 | -3.06± 1.22 | -1.35 | 0.9σ |
| Land regions | CT2026 full | CT2022 full | CT2026 common | CT2022 common | Δ | σ sep |
| North American Boreal | -0.22± 0.56 | -0.25± 0.52 | -0.26± 0.55 | -0.25± 0.52 | +0.00 | 0.0σ |
| North American Temperate | -0.45± 0.48 | -0.41± 0.50 | -0.45± 0.47 | -0.41± 0.50 | +0.04 | 0.1σ |
| South American Tropical | -0.02± 0.76 | 0.24± 0.66 | -0.05± 0.75 | 0.24± 0.66 | +0.29 | 0.3σ |
| South American Temperate | -0.70± 0.81 | -0.03± 0.60 | -0.71± 0.79 | -0.03± 0.60 | +0.69 | 0.7σ |
| Northern Africa | 0.74± 1.11 | -0.14± 0.59 | 0.78± 1.11 | -0.14± 0.59 | -0.92 | 0.7σ |
| Southern Africa | 0.05± 0.78 | 0.32± 0.49 | 0.10± 0.77 | 0.32± 0.49 | +0.23 | 0.2σ |
| Eurasia Boreal | -0.73± 1.02 | -0.68± 0.84 | -0.62± 0.93 | -0.68± 0.84 | -0.06 | 0.0σ |
| Eurasia Temperate | -0.77± 1.08 | -0.21± 0.68 | -0.85± 1.07 | -0.21± 0.68 | +0.64 | 0.5σ |
| Tropical Asia | -0.10± 0.54 | 0.19± 0.37 | -0.07± 0.52 | 0.19± 0.37 | +0.26 | 0.4σ |
| Australia | 0.01± 0.39 | 0.02± 0.32 | 0.04± 0.38 | 0.02± 0.32 | -0.02 | 0.0σ |
| Europe | -0.43± 0.95 | -0.05± 0.78 | -0.43± 0.95 | -0.05± 0.78 | +0.38 | 0.3σ |
| Ocean regions | CT2026 full | CT2022 full | CT2026 common | CT2022 common | Δ | σ sep |
| North Pacific Temperate | -0.52± 0.65 | -0.68± 0.86 | -0.48± 0.64 | -0.68± 0.86 | -0.20 | 0.2σ |
| West Pacific Tropical | -0.02± 0.28 | -0.02± 0.34 | -0.03± 0.28 | -0.02± 0.34 | +0.01 | 0.0σ |
| East Pacific Tropical | 0.33± 0.49 | 0.48± 0.67 | 0.33± 0.48 | 0.48± 0.67 | +0.16 | 0.2σ |
| South Pacific Temperate | -0.31± 0.47 | -0.46± 0.63 | -0.29± 0.46 | -0.46± 0.63 | -0.17 | 0.2σ |
| Northern Ocean | -0.26± 0.45 | -0.46± 0.70 | -0.27± 0.45 | -0.46± 0.70 | -0.19 | 0.2σ |
| North Atlantic Temperate | -0.27± 0.51 | -0.45± 0.72 | -0.26± 0.50 | -0.45± 0.72 | -0.19 | 0.2σ |
| Atlantic Tropical | 0.07± 0.30 | 0.08± 0.49 | 0.07± 0.31 | 0.08± 0.49 | +0.01 | 0.0σ |
| South Atlantic Temperate | -0.32± 0.37 | -0.49± 0.50 | -0.33± 0.35 | -0.49± 0.50 | -0.16 | 0.3σ |
| Southern Ocean | -0.33± 0.44 | -0.51± 0.66 | -0.29± 0.43 | -0.51± 0.66 | -0.23 | 0.3σ |
| Indian Tropical | 0.09± 0.41 | 0.06± 0.54 | 0.09± 0.40 | 0.06± 0.54 | -0.03 | 0.0σ |
| South Indian Temperate | -0.28± 0.40 | -0.61± 0.60 | -0.26± 0.38 | -0.61± 0.60 | -0.35 | 0.5σ |
| ▾Aggregated & other (62) | CT2026 full | CT2022 full | CT2026 common | CT2022 common | Δ | σ sep |
| Latitude bands (9) | ||||||
| Northern Land | -2.60± 1.38 | -1.60± 1.05 | -2.61± 1.33 | -1.60± 1.05 | +1.00 | 0.6σ |
| Northern Oceans | -1.05± 0.78 | -1.59± 1.03 | -1.02± 0.77 | -1.59± 1.03 | -0.58 | 0.4σ |
| Northern | -3.65± 1.56 | -3.20± 1.40 | -3.62± 1.50 | -3.20± 1.40 | +0.43 | 0.2σ |
| Tropical Land | 0.62± 1.09 | 0.29± 0.78 | 0.66± 1.09 | 0.29± 0.78 | -0.36 | 0.3σ |
| Tropical Ocean | 0.47± 0.59 | 0.61± 0.80 | 0.46± 0.57 | 0.61± 0.80 | +0.15 | 0.1σ |
| Tropical | 1.09± 1.20 | 0.90± 1.05 | 1.12± 1.20 | 0.90± 1.05 | -0.22 | 0.1σ |
| Southern Land | -0.65± 0.98 | 0.31± 0.70 | -0.58± 0.96 | 0.31± 0.70 | +0.89 | 0.8σ |
| Ocean in South | -1.23± 0.59 | -2.07± 0.87 | -1.15± 0.57 | -2.07± 0.87 | -0.92 | 0.9σ |
| Southern | -1.87± 1.13 | -1.76± 1.09 | -1.73± 1.11 | -1.76± 1.09 | -0.02 | 0.0σ |
| Ocean basins & continents (6) | ||||||
| Americas | -1.39± 0.94 | -0.45± 0.83 | -1.47± 0.92 | -0.45± 0.83 | +1.02 | 0.8σ |
| Atlantic and Arctic | -0.79± 0.62 | -1.32± 0.91 | -0.79± 0.61 | -1.32± 0.91 | -0.53 | 0.5σ |
| Eurasia and Africa | 0.36± 1.34 | 0.13± 0.87 | 0.45± 1.35 | 0.13± 0.87 | -0.31 | 0.2σ |
| Indian Ocean | -0.19± 0.50 | -0.55± 0.71 | -0.16± 0.48 | -0.55± 0.71 | -0.38 | 0.4σ |
| Asia | -1.59± 1.28 | -0.68± 0.93 | -1.51± 1.22 | -0.68± 0.93 | +0.82 | 0.5σ |
| Pacific Ocean | -0.51± 0.76 | -0.68± 0.98 | -0.47± 0.74 | -0.68± 0.98 | -0.20 | 0.2σ |
| Derived combinations (19) | ||||||
| North America | -0.67± 0.64 | -0.66± 0.62 | -0.71± 0.63 | -0.66± 0.62 | +0.05 | 0.1σ |
| Extratropical Eurasia | -1.93± 1.36 | -0.94± 1.02 | -1.90± 1.30 | -0.94± 1.02 | +0.96 | 0.6σ |
| Temperate Northern Ocean | -0.79± 0.74 | -1.13± 0.95 | -0.74± 0.73 | -1.13± 0.95 | -0.39 | 0.3σ |
| Temperate Southern Ocean | -0.90± 0.55 | -1.56± 0.78 | -0.87± 0.53 | -1.56± 0.78 | -0.69 | 0.7σ |
| Tropical and Southern Land | -0.03± 1.28 | 0.61± 0.92 | 0.08± 1.26 | 0.61± 0.92 | +0.53 | 0.3σ |
| Tropical Pacific | 0.31± 0.51 | 0.47± 0.70 | 0.30± 0.50 | 0.47± 0.70 | +0.17 | 0.2σ |
| Temperate Oceans | -1.69± 0.80 | -2.69± 1.05 | -1.61± 0.78 | -2.69± 1.05 | -1.08 | 0.8σ |
| High Latitude Oceans | -0.59± 0.53 | -0.98± 0.84 | -0.56± 0.52 | -0.98± 0.84 | -0.42 | 0.4σ |
| Extratropical Oceans | -2.28± 0.83 | -3.67± 1.16 | -2.17± 0.82 | -3.67± 1.16 | -1.49 | 1.1σ |
| Tropical and Southern Oceans | -0.76± 0.71 | -1.46± 1.01 | -0.69± 0.69 | -1.46± 1.01 | -0.77 | 0.6σ |
| Northern Boreal Land | -0.95± 1.07 | -0.93± 0.87 | -0.87± 0.98 | -0.93± 0.87 | -0.06 | 0.0σ |
| Northern Temperate Land | -1.64± 1.22 | -0.67± 0.91 | -1.73± 1.22 | -0.67± 0.91 | +1.06 | 0.7σ |
| Tropical land minus northern land | 0.62± 1.09 | 0.29± 0.78 | 0.66± 1.09 | 0.29± 0.78 | -0.36 | 0.3σ |
| High North Ocean and Boreal Land | -1.21± 1.14 | -1.40± 1.06 | -1.14± 1.05 | -1.40± 1.06 | -0.25 | 0.2σ |
| Northern Temperate Land and Ocean | -2.43± 1.40 | -1.80± 1.26 | -2.48± 1.39 | -1.80± 1.26 | +0.68 | 0.4σ |
| Southern Temperate Land and Ocean | -1.55± 1.11 | -1.24± 1.03 | -1.45± 1.09 | -1.24± 1.03 | +0.21 | 0.1σ |
| Tropical and Southern Land and Ocean | -0.78± 1.43 | -0.85± 1.31 | -0.61± 1.41 | -0.85± 1.31 | -0.24 | 0.1σ |
| Tropics and south minus north | -0.78± 1.43 | -0.85± 1.31 | -0.61± 1.41 | -0.85± 1.31 | -0.24 | 0.1σ |
| Tropical and southern land minus northern land | -0.03± 1.28 | 0.61± 0.92 | 0.08± 1.26 | 0.61± 0.92 | +0.53 | 0.3σ |
| TransCom (fine split) (10) | ||||||
| TransCom 03a: Northern Tropical South America | -0.03± 0.46 | 0.05± 0.40 | -0.04± 0.45 | 0.05± 0.40 | +0.09 | 0.1σ |
| TransCom 03b: Southern Tropical South America | 0.02± 0.59 | 0.19± 0.51 | -0.01± 0.59 | 0.19± 0.51 | +0.20 | 0.3σ |
| TransCom 05a: Temperate Northern (north extratropical) Africa | 0.01± 0.25 | -0.03± 0.15 | 0.01± 0.25 | -0.03± 0.15 | -0.05 | 0.2σ |
| TransCom 05b: Northern Tropical Africa | 0.71± 1.09 | -0.11± 0.58 | 0.75± 1.09 | -0.11± 0.58 | -0.86 | 0.7σ |
| TransCom 06a: Southern Tropical Africa | 0.14± 0.73 | 0.35± 0.46 | 0.18± 0.71 | 0.35± 0.46 | +0.16 | 0.2σ |
| TransCom 06b: Temperate Southern (south extratropical) Africa | -0.07± 0.27 | -0.01± 0.14 | -0.07± 0.26 | -0.01± 0.14 | +0.05 | 0.2σ |
| TransCom 09a: Northern Tropical Asia | -0.05± 0.48 | 0.13± 0.31 | -0.04± 0.45 | 0.13± 0.31 | +0.17 | 0.3σ |
| TransCom 09b: Southern Tropical Asia | -0.01± 0.26 | 0.07± 0.19 | 0.01± 0.25 | 0.07± 0.19 | +0.06 | 0.2σ |
| TransCom 10a: Tropical Australia | 0.04± 0.28 | 0.04± 0.21 | 0.06± 0.27 | 0.04± 0.21 | -0.02 | 0.1σ |
| TransCom 10b: Temperate Australia | -0.04± 0.29 | -0.02± 0.24 | -0.02± 0.28 | -0.02± 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.0σ |
| Zonal bands (10) | ||||||
| ZB: Arctic | -0.17± 0.59 | -0.28± 0.55 | -0.20± 0.59 | -0.28± 0.55 | -0.08 | 0.1σ |
| ZB: N. Midlatitudes | -3.17± 1.46 | -2.73± 1.32 | -3.10± 1.40 | -2.73± 1.32 | +0.37 | 0.2σ |
| ZB: N. Tropics | 0.43± 1.14 | -0.09± 0.86 | 0.46± 1.14 | -0.09± 0.86 | -0.56 | 0.4σ |
| ZB: S. Tropics | 0.02± 0.97 | 0.98± 0.99 | 0.07± 0.95 | 0.98± 0.99 | +0.91 | 0.7σ |
| ZB: S. Midlatitudes | -1.54± 0.75 | -1.91± 0.89 | -1.46± 0.73 | -1.91± 0.89 | -0.45 | 0.4σ |
| ZB: Antarctic | -0.01± 0.15 | -0.02± 0.24 | -0.01± 0.15 | -0.02± 0.24 | -0.01 | 0.1σ |
| ZB: [90S-45S] | -0.32± 0.43 | -0.48± 0.64 | -0.28± 0.42 | -0.48± 0.64 | -0.20 | 0.3σ |
| ZB: [45S-Equator] | -1.21± 1.12 | -0.47± 1.15 | -1.12± 1.09 | -0.47± 1.15 | +0.65 | 0.4σ |
| ZB: [Equator-45N] | -1.06± 1.42 | -1.37± 1.16 | -1.08± 1.40 | -1.37± 1.16 | -0.30 | 0.2σ |
| ZB: [45N-90N] | -1.84± 1.27 | -1.73± 1.14 | -1.76± 1.19 | -1.73± 1.14 | +0.03 | 0.0σ |
| Special regions (4) | ||||||
| Nino3.4 | 0.05± 0.18 | 0.07± 0.25 | 0.04± 0.18 | 0.07± 0.25 | +0.02 | 0.1σ |
| Amazonia | -0.12± 0.64 | 0.20± 0.57 | -0.15± 0.62 | 0.20± 0.57 | +0.34 | 0.4σ |
| East Asia | -0.45± 0.73 | -0.16± 0.49 | -0.49± 0.72 | -0.16± 0.49 | +0.33 | 0.4σ |
| South Asia | -0.24± 0.62 | 0.01± 0.32 | -0.27± 0.61 | 0.01± 0.32 | +0.27 | 0.4σ |
| Not optimized (1) | ||||||
| Not optimized | 0.00± 0.04 | 0.00± 0.06 | 0.00± 0.04 | 0.00± 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.0σ |
| Other regions (3) | ||||||
| Africa | 0.79± 1.22 | 0.19± 0.65 | 0.88± 1.22 | 0.19± 0.65 | -0.69 | 0.5σ |
| South America | -0.72± 0.88 | 0.21± 0.78 | -0.76± 0.86 | 0.21± 0.78 | +0.98 | 0.8σ |
| ZB: Tropics | 0.45± 1.30 | 0.89± 1.15 | 0.53± 1.29 | 0.89± 1.15 | +0.36 | 0.2σ |
| ▾Countries & groups (22) | CT2026 full | CT2022 full | CT2026 common | CT2022 common | Δ | σ sep |
| Country-scale land biosphere fluxes from CarbonTracker are not considered reliable due to the coarse resolution of its ecoregions. As a result, we only show fluxes for countries withareas greater than about 2 million km2. Fossil fuel and fire fluxes from CarbonTracker are accurate because they do not suffer from this problem--they are directly extracted from the inventories being used. | ||||||
| Countries (15) | ||||||
| Algeria | 0.00± 0.13 | -0.01± 0.08 | 0.00± 0.13 | -0.01± 0.08 | -0.01 | 0.1σ |
| Argentina | -0.22± 0.42 | -0.04± 0.33 | -0.22± 0.41 | -0.04± 0.33 | +0.18 | 0.4σ |
| Australia | 0.01± 0.39 | 0.00± 0.32 | 0.04± 0.38 | 0.00± 0.32 | -0.04 | 0.1σ |
| Brazil | -0.36± 0.65 | 0.17± 0.56 | -0.37± 0.63 | 0.17± 0.56 | +0.54 | 0.6σ |
| Canada | -0.31± 0.55 | -0.33± 0.52 | -0.35± 0.53 | -0.33± 0.52 | +0.02 | 0.0σ |
| China | -0.39± 0.67 | -0.12± 0.43 | -0.42± 0.66 | -0.12± 0.43 | +0.30 | 0.4σ |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | 0.12± 0.37 | 0.11± 0.25 | 0.13± 0.36 | 0.11± 0.25 | -0.01 | 0.0σ |
| Greenland | -0.01± 0.08 | -0.01± 0.12 | -0.01± 0.08 | -0.01± 0.12 | -0.01 | 0.1σ |
| India | -0.21± 0.59 | 0.01± 0.30 | -0.23± 0.59 | 0.01± 0.30 | +0.24 | 0.4σ |
| Indonesia | -0.01± 0.29 | 0.08± 0.23 | 0.01± 0.28 | 0.08± 0.23 | +0.07 | 0.2σ |
| Kazakhstan | -0.05± 0.34 | -0.04± 0.25 | -0.05± 0.34 | -0.04± 0.25 | +0.01 | 0.0σ |
| Mexico | -0.03± 0.26 | -0.04± 0.25 | -0.03± 0.26 | -0.04± 0.25 | -0.01 | 0.0σ |
| Russian Federation | -0.84± 1.04 | -0.70± 0.85 | -0.73± 0.95 | -0.70± 0.85 | +0.03 | 0.0σ |
| Saudi Arabia | -0.01± 0.22 | -0.01± 0.16 | -0.01± 0.22 | -0.01± 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.0σ |
| United States of America | -0.36± 0.42 | -0.35± 0.45 | -0.36± 0.41 | -0.35± 0.45 | +0.01 | 0.0σ |
| Country groups (7) | ||||||
| African Union | 0.69± 1.17 | 0.14± 0.63 | 0.77± 1.16 | 0.14± 0.63 | -0.63 | 0.5σ |
| Association of Southeast Asian Nations | -0.01± 0.46 | 0.20± 0.34 | 0.01± 0.44 | 0.20± 0.34 | +0.18 | 0.3σ |
| D-8 Organization for Economic Cooperation | -0.03± 0.45 | 0.03± 0.33 | -0.02± 0.45 | 0.03± 0.33 | +0.05 | 0.1σ |
| European Union | -0.21± 0.65 | -0.04± 0.55 | -0.21± 0.65 | -0.04± 0.55 | +0.17 | 0.2σ |
| Group of Seven | -0.79± 0.67 | -0.72± 0.65 | -0.83± 0.65 | -0.72± 0.65 | +0.11 | 0.1σ |
| Group of Twenty | -2.93± 1.30 | -1.40± 1.04 | -2.88± 1.23 | -1.40± 1.04 | +1.49 | 0.9σ |
| Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development | -1.01± 0.80 | -0.82± 0.75 | -1.03± 0.78 | -0.82± 0.75 | +0.21 | 0.2σ |
Region name → per-region flux time series. σ sep = |Δ| ÷ √(σ12+σ22) — the separation between the two runs in combined standard deviations, treating each run's 1σ ensemble spread as independent (fossil & fire carry no spread, so it is undefined). Bold when ≥ 1σ.