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Download Profile: INFERRING FLUXES OF BIOMASS BURNING FROM A GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM


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The Carbon Cycle Data Assimilation System (CCDAS) infers values of the parameters controlling the function of a process model of the terrestrial biosphere using various observations. An obvious restriction of this approach is the limitation by the dynamics of the underlying process model. Careful study of the model-data mismatch and analysis of residuals can alert us to the presence of systematic errors which then candidate processes to extend the terrestrial biosphere model and the assimilation system. In a previous study, Rayner et al. [2005] noticed systematic underestimate of carbon release events in the tropics. The most likely explanation for this was the absence of any model of biomass burning in the biosphere model used in that study. Here, we extend CCDAS to infer the spatial and temporal patterns of biomass burning in the period 1979-1999. In a first attempt we include some flux components to account for missing processes. This so-called weak constraint form avoids biasing the inferences since the underlying model is no longer forced to match data without necessary processes. Also the magnitudes of the extra inferred fluxes quantify the missing processes.



Author: M. Scholze, P. Rayner, W. Knorr, T. Kaminski, et al (marko dot scholze at bris dot ac dot uk)
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     Talk History
Friday, September 30
· Discussion Panel
· Nitrogen Regulation of Carbon Sequestration in Terrestrial Ecosystems in Respons
· The Role of Water Relations in Driving Grassland Ecosystem Responses to Rising A
· Unraveling the Decline in High-latitude Surface Ocean Carbonate
Thursday, September 29
· Hazards of Temperature on Food Availability in Changing Environments (HOT-FACE)
· The Amazon and the Modern Carbon Cycle
· New Coupled Climate-carbon Simulations from the IPSL Model
· The Changing Carbon Cycle
· What are the Most Important Factors for Climate-carbon Cycle Coupling?
· CO2 Uptake of the Marine Biosphere
· European-wide Reduction in Primary Productivity Caused by the Heat and Drought i
· Persistence of Nitrogen Limitation over Terrestrial Carbon Uptake
· Atmospheric CO2, Carbon Isotopes, the Sun, and Climate Change over the Last Mill
· Proposing a Mechanistic Understanding of Atmospheric CO2 During the late Pleist
· Greenhouse Gas (CO2, CH4) and Climate Evolution since 650 kyrs Deduced from Anta
Wednesday, September 28
· (In and) Out of Africa: Estimating the Carbon Exchange of a Continent
· Recent Shifts in Soil Dynamics on Growing Season Length, Productivity, and...
· Interannual Variability in the Carbon Exchange Using an Ecosystem-fire Model
· Photosynthesis and Respiration in Forests in Response to Environmental Changes
· Seasonal and Interannual Variability in Net Ecosystem CO2 Exchange in Japan
· Estimating Landscape-level Carbon Fluxes from Tower CO2 Mixing Ratio Measurement
· Monitoring Effects in Climate and Fire Regime on Net Ecosystem Production
· Radiative Forcing from a Boreal Forest Fire
· The Influence of Soil and Water Management on Carbon Erosion and Burial
· Spatial and Temporal Patterns of CO2, CH4, and N2O Fluxes in Ecosystems
· Modeling the History of Terrestrial Carbon Sources and Sinks
· The Age of Carbon Respired from Terrestrial Ecosystems
· Discussion Panel
· The Underpinnings of Land Use History
Tuesday, September 27
· Regional CO2 Fluxes for North America Estimated from NOAA/CMDL Observatories

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The 7th International CO2 Conference

The Omni Interlocken Resort
September 25th - 30th
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