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Download Profile: ATMOSPHERIC CO2 GROWTH-RATE ANOMALIES IN 2002-03


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We examine the growth-rate of atmospheric CO2 in 2002 and 2003. Observations show consecutive increases of greater than 2 ppmv per year for the first time on the Mauna Loa record. We use a statistical regression to show that increasing anthropogenic emissions and ENSO activity are unable to account for the CO2 growth-rates of 1992 and 1993 following the Pinatubo volcanic eruption, or the anomalously high growth-rate of 2003. Increased forest fires in the northern hemisphere, consistent with remote-sensing and carbon monoxide measurements, seem likely to have contributed significantly to the 2003 anomaly. We hypothesise that the hot and dry Eurasian summer of 2003 led to an increase in forest fire emissions from Siberia, and may also have directly suppressed land-carbon uptake. Model results lead us to expect a steady increase in airborne fraction as climate change weakens the natural carbon sink and accelerates CO2 rise.



Author: Chris Jones, Peter Cox, Peter Simmonds, Alistair Manning (chris dot d dot jones at metoffice dot gov dot uk)
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     Talk History
Friday, September 30
· Discussion Panel
· Nitrogen Regulation of Carbon Sequestration in Terrestrial Ecosystems in Respons
· The Role of Water Relations in Driving Grassland Ecosystem Responses to Rising A
· Unraveling the Decline in High-latitude Surface Ocean Carbonate
Thursday, September 29
· Hazards of Temperature on Food Availability in Changing Environments (HOT-FACE)
· The Amazon and the Modern Carbon Cycle
· New Coupled Climate-carbon Simulations from the IPSL Model
· The Changing Carbon Cycle
· What are the Most Important Factors for Climate-carbon Cycle Coupling?
· CO2 Uptake of the Marine Biosphere
· European-wide Reduction in Primary Productivity Caused by the Heat and Drought i
· Persistence of Nitrogen Limitation over Terrestrial Carbon Uptake
· Atmospheric CO2, Carbon Isotopes, the Sun, and Climate Change over the Last Mill
· Proposing a Mechanistic Understanding of Atmospheric CO2 During the late Pleist
· Greenhouse Gas (CO2, CH4) and Climate Evolution since 650 kyrs Deduced from Anta
Wednesday, September 28
· (In and) Out of Africa: Estimating the Carbon Exchange of a Continent
· Recent Shifts in Soil Dynamics on Growing Season Length, Productivity, and...
· Interannual Variability in the Carbon Exchange Using an Ecosystem-fire Model
· Photosynthesis and Respiration in Forests in Response to Environmental Changes
· Seasonal and Interannual Variability in Net Ecosystem CO2 Exchange in Japan
· Estimating Landscape-level Carbon Fluxes from Tower CO2 Mixing Ratio Measurement
· Monitoring Effects in Climate and Fire Regime on Net Ecosystem Production
· Radiative Forcing from a Boreal Forest Fire
· The Influence of Soil and Water Management on Carbon Erosion and Burial
· Spatial and Temporal Patterns of CO2, CH4, and N2O Fluxes in Ecosystems
· Modeling the History of Terrestrial Carbon Sources and Sinks
· The Age of Carbon Respired from Terrestrial Ecosystems
· Discussion Panel
· The Underpinnings of Land Use History
Tuesday, September 27
· Regional CO2 Fluxes for North America Estimated from NOAA/CMDL Observatories

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The 7th International CO2 Conference

The Omni Interlocken Resort
September 25th - 30th
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