Increasing atmospheric CO2
concentrations lowers oceanic pH and carbonate ion concentrations, thereby
decreasing the level of saturation of calcium carbonate [Feely et
al., 2004]. This acidification will eventually lead to
undersaturation and dissolution of calcium carbonate in parts of the surface
ocean. Besides affecting the global carbon cycle, these changes threaten marine
organisms that form their exoskeletons out of CaCO3, which are
essential components of the marine food web [Orr et al.,
2005]. We investigate magnitude and pattern of ocean acidification due to
increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations and global warming, both
for the recent past and the near future, using the reduced complexity, Bern 2.5-D
physical-biogeochemical climate model and a series of CO2 emission
scenarios and CO2 stabilization profiles provided by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The focus of the study is on
the impact of global warming and induced ocean circulation changes on the
projected oceanic pH and carbonate ion reductions.
Author: G.-K. Plattner, F. Joos, T. Stocker, and J. C. Orr (plattner at climate dot unibe dot ch)
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