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Category: Main/Abstracts/Managing the Carbon Cycle


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  CURRENT APPROACHES TO QUANTIFYING THE NEW ZEALAND TERRESTRIAL CARBON BUDGET 
Description:
New Zealand (NZ) is developing a system to quantify the national inventory of C stocks and changes in vegetation and soils, in order to meet its obligations under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC) and Kyoto Protocol. The current system applies an inventory-based approach applied to forests, shrublands and agricultural lands. Our approach emphasizes assessment of vegetation and soil C stocks, and changes due to afforestation and reforestation since 1990, as these activities represent an important component of NZ’s greenhouse gas inventory. All estimates are based on the national Land Cover Database (LCDB), which is repeated through satellite remote sensing at ~5 year intervals, with current estimates based on 1996/7 and 2001/2. The current measurement-based approach for forest and shrubland biomass uses historical national datasets for indigenous and exotic forests, and defines remeasurement of plots on a national grid for both forest types. We highlight current research to develop complementary model-based approaches to estimating C stocks and fluxes for both vegetation and soils, to support forecasting and in anticipation of more rigorous future reporting requirements. Development of a regional- to national-scale vegetation model presently centres on a simple partially-constrained light-use efficiency approach with spatial representation of the primary growth limiting factor. More complex models, involving multiple environmental constraints and detailed physiological modelling of leaf-to-canopy processes within a multilayered canopy, provide a robust basis for estimation of parameters in the simple model. We currently use an IPCC tier-2 methodology for predicting soil C changes based on land-use categories, climate, soil class, and topography. The system assumes soil C attains a steady state under stable long-term land use and that differences between the steady-state C stocks under different land uses define the changes in soil C that result from land-use change. Current research aims to estimate rates of change using long-term data from sites of known land-use change and management history and natural abundance radiocarbon-based estimates of soil C pools and turnover rates. Present estimates suggest New Zealand’s “Kyoto forests” sequester ~6.2 Mt C y-1, with a concomitant soil C loss of 0.7±0.3 Mt C y-1.

Author's Names: W.T. Baisden, A.S. Walcroft, C.M. Trotter, et al.
Filesize: 19.41 Kb
Added on: 25-Jul-2005 Downloads: 36
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  MULTI-CENTURY CHANGES TO GLOBAL CLIMATE AND CARBON CYCLE: RESULTS FROM A COUPLED CLIMATE... 
Description:

In this paper, we use a coupled climate and carbon cycle model to investigate the global climate and carbon cycle changes out to year 2300 that would occur if CO2 emissions from all the currently estimated fossil fuel resources were released to the atmosphere. By year 2300, the global climate warms by about 8 K and atmospheric CO2 reaches 1423 ppmv. In our simulation, the prescribed cumulative emission since pre-industrial period is about 5400 Gt-C by the end of 23rd century. At year 2300, nearly 45% of cumulative emissions remain in the atmosphere. In our simulations both soils and living biomass are net carbon sinks throughout the simulation. Despite having relatively low climate sensitivity and strong carbon uptake by the land biosphere, our model projections suggest severe long-term consequences for global climate if all the fossil-fuel carbon is ultimately released to the atmosphere.


Author's Names: G. Bala, K. Caldeira, A. Mirin, M. Wickett, and C. Delire
Filesize: 43.26 Kb
Added on: 25-Jul-2005 Downloads: 44
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  EFFECTS OF VERTICAL DIC DISTRIBUTION ON STORAGE EFFICIENCY OF DIRECT INJECTION OF CO2 INTO THE OCEAN  Popular
Description:

We estimated the effects of initial vertical distribution of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) on storage efficiency of direct injection of CO2 into the ocean. Our simulations shown that the storage efficiencies could be reduced up to 10% if a relative large droplet (30 mm in diameter) was injected at depth of 1500m. The storage efficiency of CO2 ocean sequestration is strongly related with not only injection depth but also the initial CO2 droplet diameter. With a given injection rate, the larger droplets injected will produce a dilute DIC plume and thus improve the acute biological impacts but a smaller storage effective due to droplet ascending.


Author's Names: Baixin Chen, Masahiro Nishio, and Makoto Akai
Filesize: 204.22 Kb
Added on: 28-Jul-2005 Downloads: 156
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  “USABLE” CARBON CYCLE SCIENCE: EXPLORING THE NEXUS OF CARBON CYCLE SCIENCE AND CARBON ... 
Description:

To date there has been little systematic research on how carbon cycle scientific information will be used to support decisions at various scales.  There is therefore a strong need to begin to understand how carbon cycle science is currently being used, who potential users might be, and how to effectively engage stakeholders and scientists on the issue.  Many assumptions are being made about the scales and information that will be of most use to decision-makers.  Decisions and information flow do not necessarily translate between scales, and thus matching the scales between provision of scientific information and scale of decision-making is critical to effectively making information useful.  This paper will examine the ways in which carbon is being or may be managed by users at various scales, characterize decision making processes of those users, and discuss implications for carbon management and science policy.


Author's Names: Lisa Dilling
Filesize: 25.79 Kb
Added on: 28-Jul-2005 Downloads: 49
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  GREENHOUSE GAS BUDGET OF NEWLY ESTABLISHED GRASSLANDS 
Description:

A field experiment on the Swiss Plateau was designed to measure the greenhouse gas (GHG) budget of two parallel fields after conversion from arable crop rotation to cut grassland and managed either intensively or extensively. Measurements of N2O fluxes with chambers and of CO2 with eddy flux towers were complemented by estimates of C-imports (organic fertilizers) and C-exports (yield). The results indicate that newly established grassland plots act as a net GHG sink when management intensity (fertilization and cutting) is high, while conversion to extensive grasslands leads to an initial net loss of GHG.


Author's Names: J. Fuhrer, C. Ammann, C. Flechard, J. Leifeld, et al
Filesize: 594.13 Kb
Added on: 28-Jul-2005 Downloads: 35
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  LIMITS OF IRON FERTILIZATION 
Description:

Iron fertilization has been proposed as a cheap, controllable, and environmentally benign method for removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. While this is in fact the case in simple, 3-box models of the carbon cycle, more realistic models show that these claims fall short of reality. The fact that the efficiency of iron fertilization depends on the long term fate of the added iron and on the carbon associated with it makes tracking the effects of iron fertilization much more difficult and expensive than has been asserted. Additionally, advection of low nutrient water away from iron-rich areas can result in lowering production remotely, with potentially serious consequences.


Author's Names: Anand Gnanadesikan, John P. Dunne and Irina Marinov
Filesize: 17.55 Kb
Added on: 29-Jul-2005 Downloads: 49
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  PROCESSES AND DIFFUSION NEAR A LIQUID CO2 – SEAWATER INTERFACE 
Description:

If liquid CO2 is stored as a dense "lake" on the deep ocean floor, it is expected to dissolve in seawater. Ocean currents and turbulence may increase the net rate of CO2 release by several orders of magnitude compared to molecular diffusion. However, density stratification in the seawater created by dissolved CO2 will tend to reduce vertical mixing. By comparing results from different model formulations, this study aims to increase our understanding of the processes in such a layer of CO2-enriched seawater, and decrease the uncertainties about storage efficiency and subsequent environmental impact. The study is also relevant to the case of saturated water leaking from subseabed geological storage through bottom sediments.


Author's Names: Lars Inge Enstad, Peter M. Haugan and Guttorm Alendal
Filesize: 130.35 Kb
Added on: 29-Jul-2005 Downloads: 37
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  METRICS TO ASSESS THE MITIGATION OF GLOBAL WARMING BY CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE  Popular
Description:

Different metrics to assess mitigation of global warming by carbon capture and storage are discussed. The climatic impact of capturing 30% of the anthropogenic carbon emission and its storage in the ocean or in a geological reservoir are evaluated for different stabilization scenarios using a reduced-form carbon cycle-climate model. The accumulated Global Warming Avoided (GWA) remains, after a ramp-up during the first ~50 years, in the range of 15 to 30% over the next millennium for deep ocean injection and for geological storage with annual leakage rates of up to about 0.001. For longer time scales, the GWA may approach zero or become negative for storage in a reservoir with even small leakage rates, accounting for the CO2 associated with the energy penalty for carbon capture. For an annual leakage rate of 0.01, surface air temperature becomes higher than in the absence of storage after three centuries only.


Author's Names: Peter M. Haugan and Fortunat Joos
Filesize: 113.31 Kb
Added on: 29-Jul-2005 Downloads: 134
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  THE ROLE OF CARBON DIOXIDE IN CLIMATE FORCING OVER THE PAST 26 YEARS 
Description:

Air samples are collected through the Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory (CMDL) global network, including a cooperative program for the carbon gases which provides samples from about 100 global clean air sites, including measurements at 5 degree latitude intervals from three ship routes. Greenhouse gas concentrations are analyzed in terms of the changes in radiative forcing during the 26-year period encompassing 1979 through 2004. The growing fraction of the total radiative forcing due to carbon dioxide is emphasized and the nature of the interannual variations in the radiative forcing is explored. The interannual change in total radiative forcing is used to define an Annual Greenhouse Gas Index (AGGI).


Author's Names: D.J. Hofmann, J.H. Butler, E.J. Dlugokencky, et al
Filesize: 40.80 Kb
Added on: 29-Jul-2005 Downloads: 32
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  ASSESSING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF SOIL CARBON SEQUESTRATION IN NORTH AMERICA AND ITS IMPACT ON ... 
Description:

Soil carbon sequestration has been shown to be an important part of a portfolio of carbon sequestration strategies in the U.S. and Canada, and one that can be implemented at relatively low costs [McCarl and Schneider, 2001]. The purpose of this analysis is to estimate the soil carbon sequestration potential in the North America (Canada and United States) and its impact on net terrestrial CO2 uptake over the period 1981-2000.


Author's Names: A.K. Jain, X. Yang, T.O. West, W.M. Post
Filesize: 26.89 Kb
Added on: 29-Jul-2005 Downloads: 49
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     Talk History
Friday, September 30
· Discussion Panel
· Nitrogen Regulation of Carbon Sequestration in Terrestrial Ecosystems in Respons
· The Role of Water Relations in Driving Grassland Ecosystem Responses to Rising A
· Unraveling the Decline in High-latitude Surface Ocean Carbonate
Thursday, September 29
· Hazards of Temperature on Food Availability in Changing Environments (HOT-FACE)
· The Amazon and the Modern Carbon Cycle
· New Coupled Climate-carbon Simulations from the IPSL Model
· The Changing Carbon Cycle
· What are the Most Important Factors for Climate-carbon Cycle Coupling?
· CO2 Uptake of the Marine Biosphere
· European-wide Reduction in Primary Productivity Caused by the Heat and Drought i
· Persistence of Nitrogen Limitation over Terrestrial Carbon Uptake
· Atmospheric CO2, Carbon Isotopes, the Sun, and Climate Change over the Last Mill
· Proposing a Mechanistic Understanding of Atmospheric CO2 During the late Pleist
· Greenhouse Gas (CO2, CH4) and Climate Evolution since 650 kyrs Deduced from Anta
Wednesday, September 28
· (In and) Out of Africa: Estimating the Carbon Exchange of a Continent
· Recent Shifts in Soil Dynamics on Growing Season Length, Productivity, and...
· Interannual Variability in the Carbon Exchange Using an Ecosystem-fire Model
· Photosynthesis and Respiration in Forests in Response to Environmental Changes
· Seasonal and Interannual Variability in Net Ecosystem CO2 Exchange in Japan
· Estimating Landscape-level Carbon Fluxes from Tower CO2 Mixing Ratio Measurement
· Monitoring Effects in Climate and Fire Regime on Net Ecosystem Production
· Radiative Forcing from a Boreal Forest Fire
· The Influence of Soil and Water Management on Carbon Erosion and Burial
· Spatial and Temporal Patterns of CO2, CH4, and N2O Fluxes in Ecosystems
· Modeling the History of Terrestrial Carbon Sources and Sinks
· The Age of Carbon Respired from Terrestrial Ecosystems
· Discussion Panel
· The Underpinnings of Land Use History
Tuesday, September 27
· Regional CO2 Fluxes for North America Estimated from NOAA/CMDL Observatories

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The 7th International CO2 Conference

The Omni Interlocken Resort
September 25th - 30th
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